Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.008712 0.010248 0.012094 0.014512 0.017650 0.021668 0.027342
2025-09-28 0.006948 0.008837 0.011382 0.015195 0.021020 0.030090 0.046496
2025-10-05 0.006187 0.008315 0.011430 0.016609 0.025677 0.042570 0.082146
2025-10-12 0.005501 0.007688 0.011089 0.017211 0.029179 0.055294 0.134637
2025-10-19 0.004843 0.006957 0.010388 0.016937 0.030883 0.065595 0.200420
2025-10-26 0.004403 0.006484 0.010000 0.017092 0.033526 0.080531 0.326235
2025-11-02 0.003986 0.005982 0.009457 0.016781 0.034965 0.093671 0.507858
2025-11-09 0.003551 0.005392 0.008660 0.015742 0.034147 0.098771 0.677098
2025-11-16 0.003211 0.004929 0.008032 0.014935 0.033672 0.105184 0.941122
2025-11-23 0.003031 0.004725 0.007867 0.015132 0.036203 0.128191 1.935769
2025-11-30 0.002822 0.004448 0.007517 0.014817 0.037049 0.144860 3.706463
2025-12-07 0.002614 0.004153 0.007098 0.014247 0.036846 0.155983 6.814972
2025-12-14 0.002457 0.003955 0.006884 0.014247 0.039053 0.191239 36.851164
2025-12-21 0.002366 0.003875 0.006912 0.014911 0.044366 0.272465 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002333 0.003899 0.007167 0.016288 0.054049 0.469980 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002246 0.003808 0.007149 0.016874 0.060859 0.723506 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002117 0.003620 0.006880 0.016607 0.063056 0.932869 NaN
2026-01-18 0.002025 0.003497 0.006748 0.016758 0.068028 1.389728 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001917 0.003334 0.006500 0.016455 0.070007 1.851439 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001784 0.003107 0.006073 0.015444 0.066440 1.877102 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001673 0.002920 0.005726 0.014658 0.064099 2.002365 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001617 0.002846 0.005656 0.014849 0.069247 3.372841 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001543 0.002729 0.005462 0.014542 0.070367 4.625889 NaN